2025 College Football Season Projections

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Preseason projections

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potential College Football Playoff

ESPN

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Sports

Updated SP+ rankings for every FBS team, plus an early look at CFP contenders

Summary

Nutrition label

76% Informative

SP+ is a tempo- and opponent-adjusted measure of college football efficiency.

It is a predictive measure of the most sustainable aspects of football, not a résumé ranking.

At the very top, the top four teams from February continue to occupy the same spots.

The AAC moves into the top spot among Group of 5 conferences.

No conference was hit harder by the portal than the MAC , which has only three teams ranked higher than 94th in the returning production rankings.

The Big 12 has eight top-35 teams compared to the ACC 's four .

The MWC is propped up significantly by Boise State , but its average is dragged down by three teams ranking 119th or worse.

Odds of a Big Ten team going 10-2 or better: Penn State 82% ( SOS rank: 29th ), Ohio State 77% ( 21st ), Oregon 73% ( 32nd ), Michigan 62% ( 38th ), Illinois 29% ( 40th ), Nebraska 13% ( 35th ), USC 10% ( 20th ), Indiana 9% (31st) Clemson leads the returning production rankings, with nine of the top 10 teams in returning production.