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90-day tariff break risks major shipping disruption, says report

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Summary
Nutrition label

84% Informative

90-day tariff pause in trade war between US and China could destabilize global maritime trade more than the tariff increases imposed so far.

Rebound effect could lead to an abrupt increase in demand up to 150% in the US West Coast .

The expected consequences are price increases, logistical bottlenecks, congestion, and delays in maritime transportation.

As 90% of global trade is transported by sea, rising freight costs could put a strain on supply chains.

Report analyzes effects of US -China trade war on global maritime trade for the first time using its simulation model TIDES .

The model suggests that in Long Beach - Los Angeles , one of the country's most important ports, the number of container ships could theoretically have fallen by more than 63% , equivalent to roughly 17 fewer ships per day.

In China , the most affected port, Ningbo , could have experienced a much smaller decline of around 4% , due to greater diversification of trade flows.

VR Score

87

Informative language

88

Neutral language

44

Article tone

formal

Language

English

Language complexity

63

Offensive language

not offensive

Hate speech

not hateful

Attention-grabbing headline

not detected

Known propaganda techniques

not detected

Time-value

medium-lived

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