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Japan's bond market raises alarm over risks of outflows from U.S., carry trade unwind and market turmoil

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84% Informative

Yields on Japan 's 40-year government bonds hit an all-time high last Thursday .

Higher Japan government bond yields could spark a wave of capital repatriation with Japanese investors pulling funds from the U.S. Elevated yields also spell trouble for global markets in general as they translate to increased borrowing costs.

In the second quarter of 2024 , the gap between the U.S. 2-year Treasury yield and its Japanese counterpart was 450 basis points, compared to 320 basis points now.

The advantage in shorting the yen is "less apparent," says Guy Stear , head of developed markets research at Amundi .

A depreciating dollar means there are fewer short yen positions than last year .

VR Score

91

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94

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67

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formal

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English

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55

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short-lived

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