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UFC 316 expert picks, best bets: How can O'Malley take back Dvalishvili's title?

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Sean O'Malley takes on Merab Dvalishvili in the main event of UFC 316 on Saturday night .

Julianna Peña puts her women's bantamweight title on the line against Kayla Harrison in the co-main event.

ESPN betting expert Ian Parker adds insight and analysis on main event and other intriguing bets he likes.

Heavyweight: Serghei Spivac vs. Waldo Cortes-Acosta Spivac to win (-150). Spivac is a near -150 favorite, which is surprising, as I believe he should be a -200 or even heavier. On the feet, Spivac is the more skilled striker, and he has an excellent ground game that Cortes-Acosta won't be able to defend. As long as Spivac stays away from Cortes-Acosta's power, he should be able to close the distance and utilize his grappling advantage to get the win..