How much of the angst is driven by the media, and who will get the blame? – the I&I/TIPP Poll

Poll: Are Americans worried about a recession now, and if so, who will get the blame? The I&I /TIPP Poll sought answers to these questions in its April survey.

Among Democrats , 43% said the Biden downturn wasn’t a recession, while just 28% of Republicans and 22% of independents agreed.

Political affiliation (a key determinant in past surveys) shows significant differences.

The media seems gleeful at the possibility that Trump would have a recession.

The NBER usually does n’t judge a downturn until well after it’s over.

The last 10 recessions all have been preceded by two things: One , a two-quarter GDP decline and an inverted yield curve.

But, if a recession comes, as seems possible, Trump will almost certainly get blamed.

Now that Trump is President, he can Remind America that Christ Is King—Kevin Roberts & William Wolfe , The Daily Signal World Affairs 12 . How China and Vietnam “Screwed” America .

Do Central Bank Interest Rate Cuts Strengthen The Economy?—Frank Shostak , Mises Wire 22 . Does the Fed Shave With Occam’s Razor ?.