It’s impossible to be certain, but if we take a cold, hard, logical look, then China will win

In the conflict for supremacy that is now raging between the Communist Party leadership in Beijing and President Trump ’s Washington , we should bet on China .

This isn’t a cheerful thing to say, but what is going on now is a unique combination of geopolitical and technological change that will rock the rest of this decade .

Even without a hot war, the conflict will cause pain to both sides lost jobs, lost production, higher inflation and higher inflation.

Geoffrey Hinton , described as the godfather of AI , said he thought AI had already probably achieved consciousness and was beyond human control.

The nation that deploys AI at full force, and effectively, will have a huge advantage over any rival.

The rival military establishments believe ASI could transform everything from logistics to missile targeting, drone swarms to biological weapons.

At some point in the next few years , either Beijing or Washington will emerge technologically and politically dominant over the other, armed with the most powerful technology mankind has yet created.

Here at home, the lessons are mostly familiar ones: rebuilding defences and strengthening European alliances.

But all those are merely the shoring up of fragile neighbourhood protections in an era that is alien and hostile.