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Jeffrey Frankel: It is impossible to predict what lies ahead for the U.S. economy

78% Informative
Jeffrey Frankel : Some of the most popular indicators for forecasting recession suggest that the US may be headed toward a prolonged downturn.
But, given these indicators' limitations, it is impossible to know definitively what lies ahead.
Consumer confidence is a more direct indicator particularly for predicting household demand, he says.
"nowcasts" have emerged to provide real-time estimates of GDP based on the most up-to-date relevant indicators, such as the PMI , industrial production, and retail sales.
The Atlanta Fed’s GDPNow, fell off a cliff at the end of February , from above +2% to below -2%.
China has stopped importing liquefied natural gas from the U.S. , shipping data shows.
The odds of a US recession as high as 60% for the coming year in line with prediction markets.
Fort Bliss , a major U.S. Army base in Texas , may soon be used to detain migrants, says border czar Tom Homan .
Iran is looking to build on momentum of nuclear negotiations with the United States that resumed in Oman on Saturday and after talks with Russia and China last week .
Power and cell phone outages struck across the Iberian Peninsula and other portions of Europe Monday , with disruptions reported in Spain , Portugal , Belgium , Andorra , and France .
VR Score
80
Informative language
84
Neutral language
48
Article tone
formal
Language
English
Language complexity
57
Offensive language
not offensive
Hate speech
not hateful
Attention-grabbing headline
detected
Known propaganda techniques
not detected
Time-value
short-lived
External references
53
Source diversity
36
Affiliate links
no affiliate links